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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Milan logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
AC Milan


Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2' pen.)
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
42.33%23.67%34%
Both teams to score 62.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19%39.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84%62.17%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87%19.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22%50.78%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79%23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89%57.11%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 42.33%
    AC Milan 34%
    Draw 23.67%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 4.44%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
43.3%
Draw
22.4%
AC Milan
34.3%
201
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 19
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 36
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Calhanoglu (14')
Biglia (25')
Zapata (34')
Toloi (38')
Dec 22, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 17
Atalanta
5-0
AC Milan
Papu (10'), Pasalic (61'), Ilicic (63', 72'), Muriel (84')
Castagne (46'), de Roon (56')

Musacchio (37'), Suso (44'), Romagnoli (71'), Kessie (77')
Feb 16, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
1-3
AC Milan
Freuler (33')
de Roon (18')
Piatek (45', 61'), Calhanoglu (55')
Suso (27'), Rodriguez (89')
Sep 23, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Higuain (2'), Bonaventura (61')
Calabria (51'), Higuain (66')
Papu (54'), Rigoni (90')
Papu (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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