Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 9, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 5
Atalanta

Brunetta (78'), Sohm (88')
Grassi (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Malinovskyi (12'), Pessina (52'), Muriel (77', 86'), Miranchuk (90+3')
Hateboer (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Parma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Atalanta BC
13.63%	17.72%	68.65%

Both teams to score 56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.68%

35.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.65%

57.34%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.77%

38.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.01%

74.99%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.65%

9.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.49%

31.5%

Score Analysis

Parma 13.63%

Atalanta BC 68.64%

Draw 17.72%

Parma	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.92% 1-0 @ 3.44% 2-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.88% Total : 13.63%	1-1 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.64% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.72%	0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-1 @ 8.47% 0-3 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 4.7% 1-4 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 3.67% 0-5 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 2.17% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.48% Total : 68.64%