Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 18, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
1 - 0
Juventus

Malinovskyi (87')
Gosens (78'), Malinovskyi (79'), Djimsiti (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Ligt (72'), Bonucci (73'), Cuadrado (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 37.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Juventus
37.99%	24.2%	37.81%

Both teams to score 60.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.15%

41.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.75%

64.25%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96%

22.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63%

55.36%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87%

22.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.5%

55.5%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 37.99%

Juventus 37.81%

Draw 24.2%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.99%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 8.39% 0-1 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.81%