Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
4 - 3
Parma

Pavoletti (39'), Marin (66'), Pereiro (90+1'), Cerri (90+4')
Marin (30'), Duncan (46'), Nandez (80'), Nainggolan (83')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Pezzella (5'), Kucka (31'), Man (59')
Pezzella (24'), Kurtic (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Parma
39.79%	25.99%	34.22%

Both teams to score 54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.65%

50.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.71%

72.29%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09%

24.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47%

59.53%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91%

28.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25%

63.75%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 39.79%

Parma 34.22%

Draw 25.98%

Cagliari	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.79%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.22%