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Parma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Cagliari logo

Parma
0 - 0
Cagliari


Cornelius (90+3')
FT

Oliva (25')

Preview: Parma vs. Cagliari - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Parma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Parma host Cagliari on Wednesday night with both sides hoping to improve their league form and climb the Serie A table.

The home side have scored just three goals at home all season, while a 3-2 away victory against Torino in October has been Cagliari's only triumph on the road.


Match preview

Parma players, including Antonino Barilla, in action against Atalanta BC in Serie A on July 28, 2020© Reuters

Parma extended their unbeaten run to four matches in all competitions with an impressive 2-2 draw away at league leaders AC Milan on Sunday.

Jasmin Kurtic's header in the 56th minute gave Fabio Liverani's side a two-goal cushion at San Siro, but Milan fought back with Theo Hernandez scoring a 91st-minute equaliser to snatch a late point.

Parma have been struggling to convert draws into victories, having drawn five of their last seven Serie A outings, including their last three home fixtures.

The two goals scored against Milan increased their goal tally for the season to 12, but only three other teams have scored fewer than Parma this campaign.

Sitting in 14th, the campaign could yet go either way for Liverani's side, who are within touching distance from the top half of the table as well as the bottom three.

A much-needed victory against Cagliari could ease their worries of falling into the drop zone, and could move them as high as 10th in Serie A.

Eusebio Di Francesco, now in charge of Cagliari, pictured in September 2019© Reuters

Cagliari suffered their fifth defeat of the season as they lost 3-1 at home to Inter Milan on Sunday afternoon.

Riccardo Sottil had put the Isolani in front on the stroke of half time and it looked as if Cagliari could hold on for the victory. However, Inter Milan had other ideas as they scored three goals in the final 16 minutes to secure all three points at the Sardegna Arena.

Eusebio Di Francesco's side have slipped to 11th in the table after a winless run of four matches and are one point above Wednesday's opponents.

Cagliari have not struggled for goals this campaign as they have found the net 18 times in Serie A – only twice in their history have they done better after the first 11 top-flight matches of the season.

They have however found it difficult away from home in recent times, having won only two of their last 20 league matches on the road – with 10 defeats and eight draws.

The Isolani gained three points in the away match against Parma last season and will be looking to secure back-to-back away victories in the league against them for the first time since January 2011.

Parma Serie A form: DDLWDD
Parma form (all competitions): DLWWDD

Cagliari Serie A form: LWLDDL
Cagliari form (all competitions): WLWDDL


Team News

Parma manager Fabio Liverani pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Parma winger Valentin Mihaila (groin), midfielder Juraj Kucka (leg) and right-back Vincent Laurini (muscle problem) are all doubtful for Wednesday's match.

Central midfielders Hernani and Jasmin Kurtic, who both scored against AC Milan, are set to remain in the starting lineup alongside Gaston Brugman.

Cagliari's Zito Luvumbo remains out with a hamstring injury but veteran defender Diego Godin and midfielder Gaston Pereiro could be available to feature on Wednesday if they are declared fit to play after self-isolating.

Forward Giovanni Simeone, who came off the bench against Inter Milan, will be pushing to start ahead of Leonardo Pavoletti.

Parma possible starting lineup:
Sepe; Iacoponi, Alves, Osorio, Gagliolo; Hernani, Brugman, Kurtic; Karamoh, Gervinho; Cornelius

Cagliari possible starting lineup:
Cragno; Farago, Walukiewicz, Carboni, Lykogiannis; Marin, Rog; Zappa, Pedro, Sottil; Simeone


SM words green background

We say: Parma 1-1 Cagliari

Parma have only won one of their last eight games against Cagliari in Serie A, while the visitors have conceded 14 goals from their six away matches this season – the second highest in the division. Both teams have struggled to find form recently and with little to separate the two sides, we could see another draw on Wednesday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Parma vs Cagliari

Parma
47.6%
Draw
47.6%
Cagliari
4.8%
42
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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