Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.