Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Roma |
16.6% | 20.59% | 62.8% |
Both teams to score 53.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.43% | 42.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.02% | 64.98% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.13% | 38.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.39% | 75.6% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.04% | 12.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.57% | 39.43% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 4.76% 2-1 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.48% 3-1 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.6% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 0-0 @ 5.04% 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.59% | 0-2 @ 10.51% 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 7.17% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-4 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.2% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-5 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |