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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Jul 8, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Parma logo

Roma
2 - 1
Parma

Mkhitaryan (43'), Veretout (57')
Cristante (9'), Peres (49'), Diawara (71'), Mkhitaryan (78'), Ibanez (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kucka (9' pen.)
Kurtic (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Roma and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Parma had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawParma
63.43%20.19%16.38%
Both teams to score 54.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.85%41.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.46%63.54%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66%12.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.85%38.15%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72%38.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96%75.04%
Score Analysis
    Roma 63.43%
    Parma 16.38%
    Draw 20.19%
RomaDrawParma
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 6.93%
4-0 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.33%
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 63.43%
1-1 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 4.77%
0-0 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-1 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.53%
1-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.38%

Head to Head
Jan 16, 2020 8.15pm
Round of 16
Parma
0-2
Roma

Laurini (37'), Dermaku (56')
Pellegrini (49', 76')
Under (54'), Pellegrini (57')
Nov 10, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 12
Parma
2-0
Roma
Sprocati (68'), Cornelius (93')
Scozzarella (24'), Barilla (75'), Hernani (76')

Zaniolo (11'), Kluivert (78')
May 26, 2019 7.30pm
Roma
2-1
Parma
Pellegrini (35'), Perotti (89')
Perotti (40'), Pellegrini (78')
Gervinho (86')
Kucka (38')
Dec 29, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 19
Parma
0-2
Roma

Barilla (67')
Cristante (58'), Under (75')
Kolarov (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino532085311
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Napoli531194510
6Udinese6312910-110
7Empoli52305239
8Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
9Bologna614179-27
10Lazio52129817
11Roma51315326
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
13Fiorentina51317706
14Parma512289-15
15Lecce6123311-85
16Como512269-35
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia511338-54
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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