Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Jul 5, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
2 - 1
Roma

Callejon (55'), Insigne (82')
Demme (7'), Koulibaly (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mkhitaryan (60')
Pellegrini (10'), Mancini (65'), Veretout (75'), Cristante (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Roma
45.9%	24.25%	29.86%

Both teams to score 58.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82%

44.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.44%

66.56%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6%

19.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79%

51.21%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14%

27.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.53%

63.47%

Score Analysis

Napoli 45.9%

Roma 29.86%

Draw 24.24%

Napoli	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.9%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.86%