Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Jun 28, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Ennio Tardini

Parma
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Gervinho (15')
Dermaku (30'), Kucka (49'), R. (86'), Kurtic (89')
Kucka (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

de Vrij (84'), Bastoni (87')
Martinez (27'), Gagliardini (49'), Godin (71'), Moses (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Parma and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Inter Milan
20.8%	22.26%	56.94%

Both teams to score 55.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.52%

43.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.12%

65.88%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.19%

34.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.45%

71.55%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94%

15.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.44%

43.57%

Score Analysis

Parma 20.8%

Inter Milan 56.94%

Draw 22.26%

Parma	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 5.53% 2-1 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.01% Total : 20.8%	1-1 @ 10.47% 0-0 @ 5.24% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.26%	0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.4% 1-3 @ 6.26% 0-3 @ 5.93% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.96% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.56% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.94%