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Europa League | Round of 16
Mar 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Shakhtar Donetsk

Roma
3 - 0
Shakhtar

Pellegrini (23'), El Shaarawy (73'), Mancini (77')
Kumbulla (55'), Mancini (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Patrick (58'), Maycon (74'), Taison (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
54.24%26.46%19.31%
Both teams to score 41.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.84%61.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.88%81.12%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21%22.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51%56.49%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.35%46.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.78%82.22%
Score Analysis
    Roma 54.23%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 19.31%
    Draw 26.45%
RomaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 15.72%
2-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 8.87%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 4.37%
4-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 54.23%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 3.38%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.11%
1-2 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 19.31%

How you voted: Roma vs Shakhtar

Roma
76.6%
Draw
11.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk
12.1%
214
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2018 7.45pm
Round of 16
Roma
1-0
Shakhtar
Dzeko (52')
Florenzi (39'), Manolas (54')

Stepanenko (71'), Fred (76'), Ferreyra (80')
Ordets (79')
Feb 21, 2018 7.45pm
Round of 16
Shakhtar
2-1
Roma
Ferreyra (52'), Fred (71')
Ferreyra (80'), Taison (90')
Under (41')
Perotti (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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