Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.