Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
