Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
70.76% | 17.18% | 12.06% |
Both teams to score 53.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.23% | 36.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.06% | 58.94% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.76% | 9.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.75% | 31.25% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.42% | 41.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.93% | 78.07% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 7.59% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.33% 5-0 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 0.97% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.38% Total : 70.75% | 1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.2% 0-0 @ 3.84% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.18% | 1-2 @ 3.52% 0-1 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |