Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 21, 2021 at 2pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
0 - 3
Inter Milan

Kjaer (12'), Saelemaekers (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (5', 57'), Lukaku (66')
Hakimi (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
32.34%	23.44%	44.21%

Both teams to score 62.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.75%

39.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.42%

61.58%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12%

23.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92%

58.08%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88%

18.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.94%

49.06%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 32.34%

Inter Milan 44.21%

Draw 23.44%

AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.34%	1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 9.04% 0-1 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.73% Total : 44.21%