Europa League

Europa League | Round of 32

Feb 18, 2021 at 5.55pm UK

Red Star Stadium

Red Star
2 - 2
AC Milan

Kanga (52' pen.), Pavkov (90+3')
Milunovic (54'), Rodic (57')
Rodic (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pankov (42' og.), Hernandez (61' pen.)
Romagnoli (51'), Mandzukic (71'), Donnarumma (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	AC Milan
25.64%	24.36%	50%

Both teams to score 54.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.48%

47.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.27%

69.73%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.28%

32.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.73%

69.27%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96%

19.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.38%

50.62%

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 25.65%

AC Milan 49.99%

Draw 24.36%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 6.96% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 3.89% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.65%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 5.29% 0-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.96% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.15% Total : 49.99%