Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
| 41.64% | 24.2% | 34.17% |
| Both teams to score 60.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% | 42.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% | 64.67% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% | 20.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.06% | 52.94% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% | 24.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.37% | 58.63% |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 41.64%
AC Milan 34.17%
Draw 24.19%
| Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.89% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.17% |
How you voted: Lazio vs AC Milan
Lazio
34.3%Draw
30.0%AC Milan
35.7%280
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
3-2
Lazio
Jul 4, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 30
Lazio
0-3
AC Milan
Nov 3, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
1-2
Lazio
