Only Inter have attempted more shots than Sassuolo (299) and AC Milan (296) in the second half of this Serie A season, so in normal circumstances, this encounter may be an open affair with a series of chances at either end.
While the home side rarely hold anything back, thanks to the potency of their four-man forward line, the Rossoneri have their eyes fixed on the main prize and are likely to take a relatively cautious approach - which has often served them well as they moved to within touching distance of the Scudetto. It is their pace and power on the counter which could ultimately prove decisive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
1.07) 
-1.35) 
