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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Genoa logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Genoa

Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Genoa

Both sides have been difficult to break down in recent months but they have also struggled to find the net, so a low-scoring contest could be on the cards at San Siro. However, Milan will be the firm favourites to come away with maximum points and they should have enough quality in their side to edge past the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
77.87%14.8%7.33%
Both teams to score 41.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13%40.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73%63.26%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.39%8.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.27%29.72%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.84%54.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.63%87.37%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 77.86%
    Genoa 7.33%
    Draw 14.8%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 14.02%
3-0 @ 11.46%
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 7.03%
4-0 @ 7.03%
4-1 @ 4.31%
5-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 2.12%
6-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 77.86%
1-1 @ 7.01%
0-0 @ 4.66%
2-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 14.8%
0-1 @ 2.86%
1-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 7.33%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
85.9%
Draw
11.1%
Genoa
3.0%
135
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Genoa
2-2
AC Milan
Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')
Mar 8, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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