Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 10, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 4
Lazio

Patric (68' og.)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Marusic (31'), Immobile (45+1', 63', 76')
Leiva (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Lazio

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Juventus	38	20	70
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63

Given how Genoa have performed in recent weeks, they will fancy their chances of earning at least a share of the spoils against an inconsistent Lazio outfit. Nevertheless, we still expect the visitors to come through this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three in a competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Lazio
28.34%	25.98%	45.67%

Both teams to score 51.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.59%

52.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.91%

74.08%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.82%

33.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22%

69.78%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1%

22.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35%

56.65%

Score Analysis

Genoa 28.34%

Lazio 45.67%

Draw 25.98%

Genoa	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.34%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.67%