Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 4.15pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 1
Bologna

Galdames (38'), Criscito (54'), Skiri Oestigaard (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrow (66')
Aebischer (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Udinese	38	3	47
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41

Up against one of Serie A's weakest away sides this season - Bologna have picked up just three wins and averaged less than a point per game on the road - Genoa can sign off with a rare victory. The visitors cannot be caught from behind in the standings, so should end a satisfactory campaign 13th, and can then plan for next season in the top flight - unlike their unfortunate hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Bologna
41.25% ( -0.82)	27.11% ( 0.29)	31.64% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.51% (

-0.95)

55.49% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33% (

-0.78)

76.68% (

0.78)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

-0.87)

26.48% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33% (

-1.17)

61.67% (

1.17)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.64% (

-0.11)

32.36% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.13% (

-0.13)

68.87% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Genoa 41.24%

Bologna 31.64%

Draw 27.11%

Genoa	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.24%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.64%