Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 8, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
4 - 3
Bologna

Henry (4'), Kiyine (19'), Aramu (78' pen.), Johnsen (90+3')
Kiyine (30'), Mateju (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Orsolini (45+2'), Arnautovic (55'), Schouten (68')
Skorupski (16'), Hickey (38'), Medel (77'), Dominguez (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Udinese	38	3	47
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41

Unlikely to be a thriller due to both sides' lack of potency, this could be a close-fought encounter, with the home side desperately seeking to prolong their surely inevitable demise. Bologna, meanwhile, can play with great freedom, and the confidence gleaned from recent results against the top clubs should ensure they continue their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Bologna
32.65% ( 0.01)	25.35% ( -0.01)	42% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.7% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.04% (

0.04)

47.96% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.87% (

0.04)

70.13% (

-0.04)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

0.03)

27.91% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47% (

0.03)

63.53% (

-0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27% (

0.02)

22.73% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6% (

0.03)

56.4% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Venezia 32.65%

Bologna 42%

Draw 25.35%

Venezia	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.65%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 42%