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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Milan logo

Sampdoria
1 - 2
AC Milan

Duricic (57')
Ferrari (54'), Villar (66'), Quagliarella (90+3'), Augello (90+5'), Leris (90+6')
Giampaolo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Messias (6'), Giroud (67' pen.)
Leao (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Sampdoria 0-2 AC Milan

Although recovering quickly from their midweek exertions may be a challenge for Milan, they are fortunate their opponents are drained of confidence and lack a goalscoring threat. Pioli can therefore make use of his deepening squad to continue his side's unbeaten start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
10.18% (-0.064 -0.06) 17.03% (-0.099 -0.1) 72.78% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.72% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (0.25899999999999 0.26)41.51% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (0.262 0.26)63.91% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)48.09% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)83.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (0.105 0.11)9.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67% (0.248 0.25)32.99% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 10.19%
    AC Milan 72.77%
    Draw 17.03%
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 3.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-1 @ 2.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 10.19%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.03%
0-2 @ 12.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 9.79% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 5.64% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.13% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.6% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.015 0.01)
0-6 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 72.77%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs AC Milan

Sampdoria
17.1%
Draw
13.7%
AC Milan
69.2%
117
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 11.30am
Aug 23, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 3, 2021 11.30am
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Quagliarella (57')
Colley (32'), Thorsby (39'), Silva (45+1'), Candreva (73')
Silva (59')
Dec 6, 2020 7.45pm
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Ekdal (82')
Silva (26'), Jankto (45+2')
Kessie (45' pen.), Castillejo (77')
Kessie (5')
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
0-0
Sampdoria

Krunic (13')

Depaoli (40'), Thorsby (68'), Colley (70'), Bereszynski (78'), Linetty (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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