Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Lecce | 5 | -3 | 2 |
18 | Sampdoria | 5 | -7 | 2 |
19 | Cremonese | 5 | -5 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Napoli | 5 | 8 | 11 |
3 | AC Milan | 5 | 5 | 11 |
4 | Udinese | 5 | 4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | AC Milan |
10.18% ( -0.06) | 17.03% ( -0.1) | 72.78% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.72% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.48% ( 0.26) | 41.51% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.08% ( 0.26) | 63.91% ( -0.27) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.9% ( 0.04) | 48.09% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.7% ( 0.03) | 83.29% ( -0.04) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.01% ( 0.11) | 9.99% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67% ( 0.25) | 32.99% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 10.19% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.03% | 0-2 @ 12.74% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 72.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
4 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
6 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
7 | Udinese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
8 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
9 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Bologna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |