Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
4 - 0
Sampdoria

Dia (7'), Bonazzoli (16'), Vilhena (50'), Botheim (76')
Mazzocchi (26'), Nicola (56'), Botheim (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Depaoli (11'), Rincon (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

Last Six:

Last Game: Udinese 0-0 Salernitana
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Empoli	2	-1	1
14	Salernitana	2	-1	1
15	Sampdoria	2	-2	1

Sampdoria

Last Six:

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Juventus
Monday, August 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Salernitana	2	-1	1
15	Sampdoria	2	-2	1
16	Hellas Verona	2	-3	1

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Sampdoria

Given neither side has proved prolific in the opening weeks, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards: in 2022, no team has drawn more matches than Salernitana's nine in Serie A, and they may find that tally grows to double figures on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Sampdoria
41.63% ( 0.07)	28.26% ( -0.11)	30.1% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 45.85% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.89% (

0.4)

60.11% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.68% (

0.3)

80.32% (

-0.31)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

0.23)

28.45% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79% (

0.29)

64.21% (

-0.29)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08% (

0.25)

35.92% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.3% (

0.25)

72.69% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 41.63%

Sampdoria 30.1%

Draw 28.25%

Salernitana	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.63%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 30.1%