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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter logo

AC Milan
3 - 2
Inter Milan

Leao (28', 60'), Giroud (54')
Hernandez (9'), Giroud (32'), De Ketelaere (51'), Tonali (77'), Leao (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brozovic (21'), Dzeko (67')
Dumfries (9'), Brozovic (39'), Inzaghi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan

Meeting for the 177th time in Serie A, these two titans have recently risen back to the top of the Italian game through improved management and investment, and there is not a lot to separate them. However, Inter's ability to find a goal from anywhere across a squad which is slightly deeper than Milan's should prove the difference in the season's first Derby della Madonnina. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
32.93% (-0.742 -0.74) 25.5% (-0.989 -0.99) 41.56% (1.726 1.73)
Both teams to score 55.28% (3.044 3.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (4.011 4.01)48.54% (-4.015 -4.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33% (3.545 3.55)70.66% (-3.551 -3.55)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (1.495 1.5)28.01% (-1.499 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (1.865 1.87)63.66% (-1.87 -1.87)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (2.687 2.69)23.2% (-2.692 -2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (3.78 3.78)57.09% (-3.785 -3.79)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 32.93%
    Inter Milan 41.56%
    Draw 25.5%
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.27% (-1.055 -1.06)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.269 0.27)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.93%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.52 -0.52)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-1.142 -1.14)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.421 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.208 0.21)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.826 -0.83)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.313 0.31)
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.464 0.46)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.236 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.395 0.4)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.274 0.27)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.172 0.17)
2-4 @ 1% (0.208 0.21)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.56%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Inter Milan

AC Milan
42.7%
Draw
22.9%
Inter Milan
34.4%
227
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2022 8pm
Mar 1, 2022 8pm
Feb 5, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Perisic (38')
Calhanoglu (60'), Skriniar (84')
Giroud (75', 78')
Romagnoli (21'), Diaz (72'), Bennacer (76'), Krunic (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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