Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 2Inter Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Tuesday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Cremonese
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Roma | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Napoli | 4 | 7 | 8 |
We said: AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan
Meeting for the 177th time in Serie A, these two titans have recently risen back to the top of the Italian game through improved management and investment, and there is not a lot to separate them. However, Inter's ability to find a goal from anywhere across a squad which is slightly deeper than Milan's should prove the difference in the season's first Derby della Madonnina. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
32.93% ( -0.74) | 25.5% ( -0.99) | 41.56% ( 1.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( 3.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
