Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 5, 2022 at 5pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
1 - 2
AC Milan

Perisic (38')
Calhanoglu (60'), Skriniar (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Giroud (75', 78')
Romagnoli (21'), Diaz (72'), Bennacer (76'), Krunic (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan

Most markers point towards a 'home' win on Saturday, as Inter are again in the ascendancy and victory would establish a significant lead over Milan in the title race. The Nerazzurri's attacking adaptability and greater strength in depth should help them overcome an increasingly inconsistent opposition side, which might even prove a knockout blow for the Rossoneri's Scudetto aspirations. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	AC Milan
48.17%	23.98%	27.85%

Both teams to score 57.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78%

44.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4%

66.6%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52%

18.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.31%

49.7%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72%

29.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75%

65.25%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 48.17%

AC Milan 27.85%

Draw 23.98%

Inter Milan	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.17%	1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.85%