Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
48.17% | 23.98% | 27.85% |
Both teams to score 57.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% | 44.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% | 66.6% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% | 18.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.31% | 49.7% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% | 29.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% | 65.25% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |