Inter Milan
2 - 1
Juventus

Martinez (35' pen.), Sanchez (120')
Dzeko (60'), Correa (106'), Vidal (118'), Sanchez (120')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McKennie (25')
Bernardeschi (43'), Dybala (105'), Rugani (109')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Supercoppa Italiana clash between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Juventus

Though this much-anticipated Supercoppa clash could conceivably go either way given both sides' current momentum, the combination of home advantage and a more potent attack should see Inter come out on top. Even if the game is delicately poised heading into its final throes, the Nerazzurri have greater depth in most areas and can make some telling changes from their well-stocked bench. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
52.87%	22.57%	24.56%

Both teams to score 59.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.51%

40.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.13%

62.88%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63%

15.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.84%

44.16%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18%

29.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.1%

65.9%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 52.87%

Juventus 24.56%

Draw 22.56%

Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 6.07% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.79% Total : 52.87%	1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 6.28% 0-1 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.11% Total : 24.56%