Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana0 - 5Inter Milan
Gyomber (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Perisic (11'), Dumfries (33'), Sanchez (52'), Martinez (77'), Gagliardini (87')
Barella (18'), Calhanoglu (76')
Barella (18'), Calhanoglu (76')
We said: Salernitana 0-2 Inter Milan
Salernitana will be desperate to give their supporters something to cheer on Friday night, but we are finding it very difficult to back the hosts in this match. Inter are on a roll at the moment, and this fixture looks to be a relatively straightforward three points for the Italian champions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 14.87% | 19.97% | 65.15% |
| Both teams to score 51.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
