Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Spezia

Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia

There should be no expectations other than a comfortable home win at San Siro, due to the combination of Inter's fine form and Spezia's calamitous approach to defending. Even if Simone Inzaghi opts to rotate his resources, the quality at his disposal far outweighs his imperiled counterpart, whose reign as boss of the visitors could be coming to an end if their fortunes do not improve soon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Spezia
82.57%	11.2%	6.23%

Both teams to score 51.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.56%

26.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.21%

46.8%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.32%

4.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.97%

19.03%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.6%

46.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.97%

82.03%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 82.57%

Spezia 6.23%

Draw 11.2%

Inter Milan	Draw	Spezia
3-0 @ 10.4% 2-0 @ 10.19% 3-1 @ 7.99% 4-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 6.12% 5-0 @ 4.88% 5-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 3.07% 6-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 2.35% 6-1 @ 1.91% 5-2 @ 1.44% 7-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.47% Total : 82.57%	1-1 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 3.01% 0-0 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.2%	1-2 @ 1.96% 0-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.6% Total : 6.23%