Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 9, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
0 - 3
AC Milan

Ceccaroni (56')
Svoboda (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ibrahimovic (2'), Hernandez (48', 59' pen.)
Saelemaekers (5'), Gabbia (37'), Tonali (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Though virus-stricken Milan may be undermanned in certain areas - particularly defence - their hosts have conceded goals at a rate of nearly two per game on home soil this season, so are vulnerable to the Rossoneri's rapid counter-attacks. Another Venezia defeat will leave them teetering above the drop zone, while Pioli and company are set to stride on in pursuit of that elusive 19th Scudetto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Venezia win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	AC Milan
18.07%	19.99%	61.93%

Both teams to score 58.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.87%

37.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.67%

59.33%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.11%

33.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43%

70.56%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.46%

11.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.54%

36.45%

Score Analysis

Venezia 18.07%

AC Milan 61.93%

Draw 19.99%

Venezia	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 4.94% 1-0 @ 4.23% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.9% Total : 18.07%	1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 5.34% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.99%	1-2 @ 9.87% 0-2 @ 9.12% 0-1 @ 8.45% 1-3 @ 7.1% 0-3 @ 6.57% 2-3 @ 3.84% 1-4 @ 3.84% 0-4 @ 3.54% 2-4 @ 2.08% 1-5 @ 1.66% 0-5 @ 1.53% Other @ 4.35% Total : 61.93%