Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Venezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
35.42% | 25.43% | 39.15% |
Both teams to score 56.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.27% | 47.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.08% | 69.92% |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% | 26.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.82% | 61.18% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% | 24.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% | 58.34% |
Score Analysis |
Venezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 8.44% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.42% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |