Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 5, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
3 - 4
Hellas Verona

Ceccaroni (12'), Crnigoj (19'), Henry (28')
Vacca (73'), Henry (90+5')
Ceccaroni (63')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Henry (52' og.), Caprari (65' pen.), Simeone (67', 85')
Magnani (45'), Simeone (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Venezia 0-2 Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona will arguably view Sunday's fixture against Venezia as their best chance of claiming their first three points away from home this season. With the hosts struggling to score goals of late, we can see the visitors finally breaking their duck on the road and securing a routine win at the Pier Luigi Penzo Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
35.42%	25.43%	39.15%

Both teams to score 56.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27%

47.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08%

69.92%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89%

26.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.82%

61.18%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93%

24.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66%

58.34%

Score Analysis

Venezia 35.42%

Hellas Verona 39.15%

Draw 25.42%

Venezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 8.44% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.42%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.15%