Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
2 - 0
Venezia

Diaz (68'), Hernandez (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Forte (25'), Caldara (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Venezia
70.7%	18.03%	11.26%

Both teams to score 47.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.99%

43.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.58%

65.41%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.08%

10.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.91%

35.09%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.96%

47.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.48%

82.51%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 70.69%

Venezia 11.26%

Draw 18.03%

AC Milan	Draw	Venezia
2-0 @ 12.59% 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 7.02% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 2.28% 5-1 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.77% Total : 70.69%	1-1 @ 8.58% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.03%	0-1 @ 3.87% 1-2 @ 3.24% 0-2 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.8% Total : 11.26%