Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 0
Chelsea

Orsic (13')
Baturina (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mount (58'), Koulibaly (67'), Tuchel (76')

Thomas Tuchel: 'Chelsea lacking in all departments'

Head coach Thomas Tuchel says that his Chelsea side were lacking in all departments as they succumbed to a 1-0 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb on Tuesday evening.

Sep 7, 07:00

Dinamo Zagreb's Mislav Orsic celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 6, 2022

Chelsea stunned by Dinamo Zagreb in Champions League opener

Dinamo Zagreb stun two-time winners Chelsea in their 2022-23 Champions League opener, beating Thomas Tuchel's side 1-0 in Croatia.

Sep 6, 19:44

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Champions League

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 West Ham
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Manchester United	6	0	12
6	Chelsea	6	-1	10
7	Liverpool	6	9	9

We said: Dinamo Zagreb 1-3 Chelsea

Given the threat that the home side possess going forward, we would be surprised if Chelsea keep a clean sheet on Tuesday night. However, the visitors should have far too much quality in attack, leading us to predict a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Chelsea
28.01% ( -0.16)	25.37% ( -0.01)	46.62% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92% (

-0.05)

50.08% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.94% (

-0.05)

72.05% (

0.05)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

-0.15)

32.21% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3% (

-0.16)

68.7% (

0.17)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

0.05)

21.49% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

0.08)

54.53% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 28.01%

Chelsea 46.62%

Draw 25.36%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.01%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.62%