We said: Chelsea 2-2 Leicester City
Ordinarily, this would be regarded as a likely Chelsea win for a number of reasons. However, with the Blues missing a defender and facing a team motivated to get back on track, we feel that an entertaining share of the spoils will be played out in West London.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea in this match.