Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
0 - 2
Chelsea

Giroud (20'), Gabbia (32'), Krunic (36'), Pobega (66'), Tonali (89'), Ballo-Toure (90')
Tomori (18')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Jorginho (21' pen.), Aubameyang (34')
Mount (20'), Sterling (29'), Gallagher (85')

Chelsea's Reece James addresses injury concerns

Chelsea right-back Reece James addresses concerns about the injury that forced him off in Tuesday's Champions League victory over AC Milan.

Oct 13, 00:09

Chelsea head coach Graham Potter during Champions League fixture at AC Milan on October 11, 2022.

Chelsea boss Graham Potter 'hopeful' over Reece James knee injury

Head coach Graham Potter hopes that the knee injury sustained by Chelsea defender Reece James against AC Milan is not as bad as first feared.

Oct 11, 23:03

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang celebrates scoring for Chelsea on October 11, 2022

Chelsea cruise to win at 10-man AC Milan in Champions League

Chelsea boost their hopes of qualifying for the Champions League knockout stages with a convincing 2-0 victory over 10-man AC Milan at San Siro.

Oct 11, 21:57

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chelsea

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Wolves
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Milan will be out for revenge on Tuesday evening, and we are expecting a much-improved performance from the Italian champions in this match. Chelsea are showing positive signs under Potter, though, and we believe that the Blues have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Chelsea
45.17% ( -0.06)	23.26% ( -0.03)	31.56% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 62.61% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.28% (

0.21)

38.72% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.97% (

0.22)

61.03% (

-0.22)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48% (

0.06)

17.52% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96% (

0.1)

48.04% (

-0.1)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

0.16)

24.09% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.62% (

0.23)

58.38% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 45.17%

Chelsea 31.56%

Draw 23.26%

AC Milan	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 45.17%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.56%