World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 1pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Mozambique3 - 1Uganda
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Uganda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Mozambique
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Uganda |
29.71% ( 0) | 29.39% ( 0) | 40.9% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 42.72% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.08% ( -0) | 63.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.87% ( -0) | 83.13% ( 0.01) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0) | 38.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.93% ( 0) | 75.07% ( 0) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( -0) | 30.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.99% ( -0) | 67.01% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Mozambique 29.71%
Uganda 40.89%
Draw 29.38%
| Mozambique | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.61% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 13.89% 0-2 @ 8.19% ( -0)1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 0.95% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.3% Total : 40.89% |
How you voted: Mozambique vs Uganda
Mozambique
71.4%Draw
0.0%Uganda
28.6%7
Form Guide
