MX23RW : Monday, November 25 23:41:54| >> :600:624544:624544:
Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
Congo national football team

Uganda
2 - 0
Congo

Kayondo (21'), Ssemugabi (85')
Omedi (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Passi (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Uganda
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 1-0 South Sudan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Uganda 1-0 Congo

Buoyed by their narrow victory last time out, Congo will undoubtedly be feeling better about themselves heading into this one, but we can see them coming away empty-handed, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.

Result
UgandaDrawCongo
27.61% (-0.444 -0.44) 28.89% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 43.49% (0.528 0.53)
Both teams to score 42.99% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.91% (0.097999999999999 0.1)63.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.47% (0.07 0.07)82.53% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.43% (-0.318 -0.32)39.56% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (-0.294 -0.29)76.25% (0.292 0.29)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (0.33799999999999 0.34)28.87% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.416 0.42)64.74% (-0.42 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 27.61%
    Congo 43.49%
    Draw 28.88%
UgandaDrawCongo
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 27.61%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 14.19% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.82% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.49%

How you voted: Uganda vs Congo

Uganda
71.1%
Draw
22.2%
Congo
6.7%
45
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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