MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:33:29| >> :600:491421:491421:
South Africa national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Uganda national football team

South Africa
2 - 2
Uganda

Foster (14'), Mbatha (90+5')
Ngezana (9'), Mudau (45+3'), Foster (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Omedi (51'), Mato (54')
Kayondo (59'), Ojera (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Africa and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Eswatini
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Uganda 1-2 Algeria
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: South Africa 1-0 Uganda

South Africa have improved noticeably in the last 12 to 18 months, particularly in defence, as we saw in the Ivory Coast at the start of the year when they kept five clean sheets in seven AFCON matches. We feel the hosts will edge this result while shutting out the Cranes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 14.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.1%) and 2-1 (7.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.86%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
South AfricaDrawUganda
57.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 28.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 29.32% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)71.97% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)88.47% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)26.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)61.52% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.82% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)60.19% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.26% (-0.022 -0.02)90.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 57.31%
    Uganda 14.12%
    Draw 28.56%
South AfricaDrawUganda
1-0 @ 21.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 14.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.31%
0-0 @ 15.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 14.12%

How you voted: South Africa vs Uganda

South Africa
77.8%
Draw
15.6%
Uganda
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 1
South Africa
3-2
Uganda
Makgopa (62', 83'), Hlongwane (67')
Orit (17'), Abdu (89')
Lwanga (42'), Willa (86')
rhs 2.0
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
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18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
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