World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Malawi0 - 1Namibia
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Malawi and Namibia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malawi 3-0 Burkina Faso
Monday, November 18 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Namibia
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 40.01%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 29.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.03%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Namibia |
40.01% ( 0.02) | 30.96% ( 0.01) | 29.04% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.7% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.34% ( -0.02) | 68.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.64% ( -0.01) | 86.37% ( 0.02) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% ( 0) | 33.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.58% ( 0) | 70.42% ( 0) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.42% ( -0.03) | 41.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.93% ( -0.03) | 78.07% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Malawi 40%
Namibia 29.03%
Draw 30.95%
| Malawi | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 15.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.26% 3-0 @ 3% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 40% | 0-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.37% 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.95% | 0-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 29.03% |
How you voted: Malawi vs Namibia
Malawi
40.0%Draw
40.0%Namibia
20.0%10
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2021 11am
