Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Malawi2 - 3Burundi
FT(HT: 1-2)
Idana (22' og.), Claude Girumugisha (33'), Elie Eldhino (87')
Madjaliwa Mussa (21'), Nsabiyumva (90+4'), Ndayishimiye (90+4')
Madjaliwa Mussa (21'), Nsabiyumva (90+4'), Ndayishimiye (90+4')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Monday, June 10 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Monday, June 10 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Seychelles 1-3 Burundi
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Malawi 1-0 Burundi
Both Malawi and Burundi are short of attacking firepower at their disposal, and we expect a low scoring affair in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to just about drag themselves over the line and claim a narrow win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Burundi |
41.13% ( -0.32) | 26.56% ( -0.01) | 32.32% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
