World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Kenya1 - 1Burundi
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kenya 3-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Botswana
Monday, March 25 at 10am in International Friendlies
Monday, March 25 at 10am in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Kenya 2-1 Burundi
Kenya seem to have attained new heights in their last couple of matches, scoring 12 goals in the last three while conceding just once. However, the reverse is the case for Burundi, who have struggled since their opening day victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Burundi |
47.46% ( 0.26) | 25.38% ( -0.08) | 27.16% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% ( 0.24) | 50.69% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( 0.21) | 72.59% ( -0.2) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( 0.21) | 21.37% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.65% ( 0.32) | 54.34% ( -0.32) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( -0.01) | 33.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.21% ( -0.01) | 69.79% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Kenya 47.46%
Burundi 27.16%
Draw 25.38%
| Kenya | Draw | Burundi |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.46% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.16% |
How you voted: Kenya vs Burundi
Kenya
89.6%Draw
6.3%Burundi
4.2%48
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 1am
Friendlies 1
Kenya
P-P
Burundi
Mar 25, 2023 12am
Friendlies 1
Kenya
0-0
Burundi
Sep 26, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Burundi
P-P
Kenya
Sep 18, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Kenya
P-P
Burundi
