Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Cameroon
3 - 0
Burundi

Mbeumo (46'), Wooh (59'), Aboubakar (90+3')
Kemen (74'), Mbeumo (75'), Wooh (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ntibazonkiza (45+2'), Amissi (49')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Cameroon and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cameroon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Cameroon
Sunday, June 11 at 3am in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	3	2	6
2	Switzerland	3	1	6
3	Cameroon	3	0	4
4	Serbia	3	-3	1

Burundi

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Namibia
Tuesday, June 20 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

With an AFCON spot within touching distance for both teams, neither of them will need any additional motivation to put on a show here. We are anticipating a keenly-contested clash and a narrow win for the hosts in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 75.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 8.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 3-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
Cameroon	Draw	Burundi
75.22% ( -0.41)	16.16% ( 0.18)	8.61% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 43.25% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.43% (

-0.07)

42.57% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.02% (

-0.07)

64.97% (

0.07)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.34% (

-0.12)

9.66% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.77% (

-0.28)

32.23% (

0.27)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.87% (

0.47)

52.13% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.91% (

0.31)

86.09% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Cameroon 75.21%

Burundi 8.61%

Draw 16.16%

Cameroon	Draw	Burundi
2-0 @ 13.75% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 75.21%	1-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.16%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.61%