We said: Mexico 2-1 Cameroon
Following Thursday's solid performance against Guatemala, Mexico will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they prepare for their Nations League showdown against the USA. While we expect Cameroon to put up a fight, the gulf in class and quality between the sides should see the hosts come out on top.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.