CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Mar 24, 2023 at 12am UK
Suriname0 - 2Mexico
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Suriname and Mexico.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Suriname 2-1 Nicaragua
Thursday, September 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, September 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mexico
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Suriname win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Suriname | Draw | Mexico |
14.68% ( -0.06) | 21.32% ( 0.15) | 63.99% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.48% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
