Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kosovo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kosovo.
-0.04) 
0.08) 
