![Lithuania national football team Lithuania national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/litlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Baltic Cup | Final
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
![Estonia national football team Estonia national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/estlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Lithuania1 - 1Estonia
Matulevicius (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Estonia win 4-3 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Baltic Cup
Last Game: Estonia 4-1 Faroe Islands
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
We said: Lithuania 2-1 Estonia
Lithuania's good form should see them come into the match as favourites, especially considering that they have been strong defensively in their recent outings. Contrastingly, Estonia have been porous defensively as of late, and this could see them struggle in the final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lithuania | Draw | Estonia |
51.28% (![]() | 25.78% (![]() | 22.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.55% (![]() | 55.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.36% (![]() | 76.65% (![]() |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% (![]() | 21.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% (![]() | 54.82% (![]() |
Estonia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% (![]() | 39.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% (![]() | 76.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lithuania 51.27%
Estonia 22.94%
Draw 25.78%
Lithuania | Draw | Estonia |
1-0 @ 13.08% (![]() 2-0 @ 10% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 12.16% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 7.95% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.94% |
How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2
Winner Semi-final 1
62.5%Draw
37.5%Winner Semi-final 2
0.0%8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 2pm
Jun 1, 2021
5pm
Group Stage
Lithuania
L
vs.
E
Oct 7, 2020 5pm
Mar 31, 2020 5pm
Friendlies 2
Estonia
P-P
Lithuania
Sep 5, 2015 5pm
Qualifiers
Estonia
1-0
Lithuania
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-01 11:20:45
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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