Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

Lithuania
2 - 2
Hungary

Cernych (20'), Sirvys (36')
Lekiatas (42'), Utkus (55'), Kazukolovas (70'), Lasickas (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Szoboszlai (67' pen.), Varga (82')
Szoboszlai (55'), Fiola (74')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship qualifying clash between Lithuania and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Bulgaria 0-2 Lithuania
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Hungary

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Serbia
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	5	7	13
2	Serbia	6	4	10
3	Montenegro	5	0	8
4	Lithuania	6	-4	5
5	Bulgaria	6	-7	2

We said: Lithuania 1-3 Hungary

Both teams come into this match on the back of wins on Saturday, but the difference between the two teams in terms of group standings and quality of performances is still too obvious to make it an equal match up. Hungary are still undefeated away from home in the Euro 2024 qualifiers, and it should remain that way after the final whistle in Kaunas on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 12.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.71%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Hungary
12.24% ( -0.11)	20.63% ( -0.37)	67.12% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45% (

1.17)

51.55% (

-1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66% (

1.01)

73.34% (

-1.01)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.29% (

0.54)

50.71% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.85% (

0.37)

85.14% (

-0.37)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

0.53)

14.47% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.55% (

1.01)

42.45% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 12.24%

Hungary 67.12%

Draw 20.64%

Lithuania	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 12.24%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.64%	0-1 @ 14.18% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 13.71% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 8.83% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.13% Total : 67.12%