Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania1 - 3Serbia
FT(HT: 1-3)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lithuania 0-2 Serbia
Serbia should expect to do the double over lowly Lithuania, who simply cannot buy a win and could be bound for bottom place in Group G. The gulf in class between the teams will be apparent, but a dogged rearguard action by the home side may keep the scoreline respectable. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 8.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.57%) and 0-3 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
Result | ||
Lithuania | Draw | Serbia |
8.87% ( 0.24) | 16.87% ( 0.3) | 74.26% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 41.96% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% ( -0.55) | 44.93% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% ( -0.53) | 67.29% ( 0.53) |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.89% ( 0.18) | 53.11% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.28% ( 0.12) | 86.71% ( -0.12) |
Serbia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.48% ( -0.28) | 10.51% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.8% ( -0.64) | 34.19% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Lithuania 8.87%
Serbia 74.24%
Draw 16.87%
Lithuania | Draw | Serbia |
1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 8.87% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.49% Total : 16.87% | 0-2 @ 14.16% 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 10.63% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 5.99% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2.7% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 74.24% |
How you voted: Lithuania vs Serbia
Lithuania
13.7%Draw
13.7%Serbia
72.5%51
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 14, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Lithuania
1-2
Serbia
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Serbia
4-1
Lithuania
Sep 7, 2018 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 01:19:27
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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