Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
Bulgaria0 - 2Lithuania
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montenegro 2-1 Bulgaria
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Serbia | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 5 | -6 | 2 |
We said: Bulgaria 2-1 Lithuania
Two teams that struggle to penetrate their opponents in the final third will have a chance to play each other for a long-awaited victory. Lithuania have failed to score in any of their away games in qualifying for Euro 2024, so a win against an equally struggling Bulgarian side could still be too much to ask. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Lithuania |
56.35% ( -2.14) | 24.14% ( 0.5) | 19.51% ( 1.64) |
| Both teams to score 47.55% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
