Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadion Pod Goricom

Montenegro
2 - 1
Bulgaria

Savic (45+1'), Jovetic (90+6')
Vujacic (24'), Radulovic (25'), Durdevic (45+3'), Krstovic (59'), Bakic (81'), Bakic (82')
Vujacic (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Borukov (79')
Nikolaev Popov (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Montenegro and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Montenegro
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	4	6	10
2	Serbia	4	3	7
3	Montenegro	4	-1	5
4	Lithuania	4	-4	2
5	Bulgaria	4	-4	2

Bulgaria

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bulgaria 0-1 Iran
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	4	6	10
2	Serbia	4	3	7
3	Montenegro	4	-1	5
4	Lithuania	4	-4	2
5	Bulgaria	4	-4	2

We said: Montenegro 1-0 Bulgaria

A lack of bite means that Bulgaria do not pose a major threat to Montenegro's qualification dreams - they have averaged only a goal every two games in their last six matches. As a result, the hosts should secure maximum points and keep pressure on the nations above them in Group G. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Bulgaria
28.82% ( 0.02)	28.72% ( 0.02)	42.46% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 44.05% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.93% (

-0.07)

62.07% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.21% (

-0.05)

81.79% (

0.05)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62% (

-0.03)

38% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.23% (

-0.03)

74.77% (

0.03)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.06% (

-0.06)

28.94% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17% (

-0.07)

64.83% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Montenegro 28.82%

Bulgaria 42.45%

Draw 28.71%

Montenegro	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 28.82%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.71%	0-1 @ 13.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.45%